EIRP Proceedings, Vol 9 (2014)

A Discussion Regarding the Armey Model Validity for Romania

Alina Cristina Nuta, Florian Nuta


In this paper we analyze whether the Romanian economic context confirms the Armey model, and present the relationship between public spending and economic growth that may offer a suitable basis for decision makers. The analysis is based on quarterly data regarding public spending and economic growth in Romania. The analytic results did not confirm the premises related to the Armey Curve for the Romanian context during 1990-2011. The time interval is marked by unpredictable phenomena such as the transition from the state economy to the market economy and the world financial crisis, both of which alter the results. The fact determines us to develop a new model that describes better the connections and the period characteristics.


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